Stats shown in SD69 (Qualicum)’s Long Range Facilities Plan depict the district area as community with a stagnant youth population and increasing seniors population. However, development in Nanoose Bay could bring in more young families. — Adam Kveton Photo

Stats shown in SD69 (Qualicum)’s Long Range Facilities Plan depict the district area as community with a stagnant youth population and increasing seniors population. However, development in Nanoose Bay could bring in more young families. — Adam Kveton Photo

More people, same amount of students projected in SD69

School district’s long range document provides pop. stats

While some things change, others stay the same.

That applies to School District 69 (Qualicum), where the overall population in the area is expected to increase, but the number of students is projected to stay about the same into 2031, school trustees learned during a recent meeting.

Unless, that is, ongoing developments in Nanoose Bay attract young families.

Statistics from SD69’s Long-Range Facilities Plan were presented to the board of trustees on Tuesday, Oct. 24.

The plan is meant to help school districts make efficient use of Ministry of Education funding, and monitor use of the funding, said Jim Alkins of Alkins Project Services Inc. who was engaged to update SD69’s plan.

“Your facilities are in relatively good condition,” he said, and also commended the district for the variety of educational opportunities provided to students.

Population and enrolment stats informed part of that assessment and provided a view of the future for the community.

Using both B.C.-wide and SD69-specific statistics, Alkin showed that the Parksville Qualicum Beach area is an extreme example of the aging populations seen across the country, with a much smaller number of young citizens compared to those 50 years old and older.

The general population of the area is expected to grow from about 47,000 in 2016 to 51,000 in 2025.

Nonetheless, the student population is expected to remain constant, at a little less than 5,000 over that same period.

A decrease in student population from 1999 to 2015 reduced enrolment from 5,600 students to 4,070. The maximum projected enrolment is 4,212 by 2024, according to Alkin.

By 2031, the stats show a decrease to 4,100 students. The school population this year is 4,046 full-time-equivalent students.

With the school district’s total capacity at about 4,486, the total utilization rate of the district is at 91 per cent “which verifies the 2014 reconfiguration was very effective,” reads Alkins report.

With the student population expected to remain fairly constant into the next 14 years, SD69 seems well-placed. The only thing that could derail that is projected development plans for Nanoose Bay that could introduced 2,000 new housing units, Alkins noted in the report.

Based on statistics estimating the number of housing units in the district (22,000) and the enrolment of about 4,100 students, the average number of students per housing unit is .186. That means Nanoose Bay development could result in 373 new students.

“If this large development proceeds, in addition to the typical annual small-parcel developments throughout the school district, there is the possibility that a new school site within Nanoose/Electoral Area E will be required,” reads the report. “The development would also impact Nanoose Bay Elementary and Ballenas Secondary schools.”

Send news tips to:

adam.kveton@pqbnews.com

Just Posted

(File photo)
Crime report: Crooks busy pilfering bikes throughout Parksville Qualicum Beach area

Thefts among 295 complaints Oceanside RCMP deal with in one-week period

The Arrowsmith Search and Rescue logo on the back of a service vehicle. (Mandy Moraes photo)
Parksville and Qualicum Beach provide letters of support for Arrowsmith Search and Rescue

ASAR asks for increase in funding, one-time capital grant and for RDN to buy out current facility

The proposed running track upgrade at Ballenas Secondary is now on course. (PQB News file photo)
RDN: Parksville track upgrade project gains some traction

Staff recommends board approve $204,000 funding

The total earnings of Town of Qualicum Beach council and mayor amounted to $186,649 in 2020, including expenses. (Town of Qualicum Beach photo)
Nine Qualicum Beach town employees earned more than $100K in 2020

Mayor and council received earnings totalling $186,649

(PQB News file photo)
Fireworks report highlights enforcement challenges for Regional District of Nanaimo

Director: ‘I just think it’s wasting everybody’s time’

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau participates in a plenary session at the G7 Summit in Carbis Bay, England on Friday June 11, 2021. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld
Canada donating 13M surplus COVID-19 vaccine doses to poor countries

Trudeau says the government will pay for 87 million shots to be distributed to poor countries

Premier John Horgan speaks as provincial health officer Dr. Bonnie Henry, right, and health minister Adrian Dix look on during a press conference to update on the province’s fall pandemic preparedness plan during a press conference from the press theatre at Legislature in Victoria, Wednesday, Sept. 9, 2020. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Chad Hipolito
B.C. officials to provide details on Step 2 of COVID reopening plan Monday

Step 2 could allow for larger gatherings and a resumption of recreational travel

Indigenous Services Minister Marc Miller is seen during a news conference, Wednesday May 19, 2021 in Ottawa. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld
Indigenous child-welfare battle heads to court despite calls for Ottawa to drop cases

Feds are poised to argue against two Canadian Human Rights Tribunal rulings

The Great Ogopogo Bathtub Race has been held in Summerland as a fundraising event. Do you know which Canadian city introduced this sport? (Black Press file photo)
QUIZ: A summer’s day at the water

How much do you know about boats, lakes and water?

Two-year-old Ivy McLeod laughs while playing with Lucky the puppy outside their Chilliwack home on Thursday, June 10, 2021. (Jenna Hauck/ Chilliwack Progress)
VIDEO: B.C. family finds ‘perfect’ puppy with limb difference for 2-year-old Ivy

Ivy has special bond with Lucky the puppy who was also born with limb difference

A million-dollar ticket was sold to an individual in Vernon from the Lotto Max draw Friday, June 11, 2021. (Photo courtesy of BCLC)
Lottery ticket worth $1 million sold in Vernon

One lucky individual holds one of 20 tickets worth $1 million from Friday’s Lotto Max draw

“65 years, I’ve carried the stories in my mind and live it every day,” says Jack Kruger. (Athena Bonneau)
‘Maybe this time they will listen’: Survivor shares stories from B.C. residential school

Jack Kruger, living in Syilx territory, wasn’t surprised by news of 215 children’s remains found on the grounds of the former Kamloops Indian Residential School

A logging truck carries its load down the Elaho Valley near in Squamish, B.C. in this file photo. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Chuck Stoody
Squamish Nation calls for old-growth logging moratorium in its territory

The nation says 44% of old-growth forests in its 6,900-square kilometre territory are protected while the rest remain at risk

Most Read